Wind AlliesTier 2
at MRC Store Championship!
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 20.0% | 6 | 2-4-0 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -4.0 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 12.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.4% | -2.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 12.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 8.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.0% | +5.7 |
| Slimes | 8.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.7% | +20.3 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 4.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.0% | -13.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.5 |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.8 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.9 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 39 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 39 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleansing Reunion | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Diablerie | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lurking Assailant | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Charged Mannequin | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Attune with the Winds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eye of Argus | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Woodland Squirrels | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Manufacture Cell | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cell Vanguard | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Winbless Gatekeeper | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Phalanx Captain | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |